Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.5.
Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Fenwick 53.8%, Plus/minus +8, Corsi 51.2%.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Hits 60, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.31
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.00 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 5G 7A, 60 SOG · Tarasenko 11G 9A, 72 SOG
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
4:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–3
- 72.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.0
- 93.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | DET 4–5 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-22 | DET 3–4 MIN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-30 | DET 2–3 FLA | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-31 | DET 2–3 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-09 | DET 1–5 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-16 | DET 4–5 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-10-21 | DET 5–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-02 | OTT 5–3 NYR | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-02-27 | CHI 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-12 | CHI 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2021-11-26 | CHI 3–2 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-30 | CHI 0–1 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYRSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.5 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 8–12. DeBrincat had 12 points (5 goals) and Tarasenko had 20 (11 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →