Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Ovechkin vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84.
Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Larkin has 1 left. We project Ovechkin for 1.9 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Ovechkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 98.1%, On-ice PDO 1030, Hits 134.
Larkin's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Faceoffs won 789, Goals above expected −0.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Ovechkin
1.85
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ovechkin | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.78 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ovechkin 15G 9A, 79 SOG · Larkin 7G 11A, 61 SOG
Ovechkin blocked 0 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 2 of Ovechkin's.
On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)
4:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–6
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 20.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ovechkin | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | WSH 4–3 DET | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-21 | WSH 2–3 DET | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-20 | WSH 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-18 | WSH 4–1 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-07 | WSH 5–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-29 | WSH 2–4 DET | 1G 0A 8S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-04-09 | WSH 2–1 DET | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-26 | WSH 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2024-02-27 | WSH 3–8 DET | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-12-19 | WSH 4–3 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-11-03 | WSH 1–3 DET | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2021-12-31 | WSH 3–1 DET | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Ovechkin
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ovechkin and Larkin done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 14–7. Ovechkin had 24 points (15 goals) and Larkin had 18 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →