Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Ovechkin for 1.9 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Alex Ovechkin has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.3, Hits 134, Plus/minus −5.

Rielly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, 20+ mph bursts 71, Goals above expected +2.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Ovechkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinRielly
Goals (+2)0.730.25
Assists (+1)0.430.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.17
Hits (+0.1)0.160.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinRielly
9Team record in 20 meetings11
20Points in those games17

Ovechkin 12G 8A, 86 SOG · Rielly 3G 14A, 48 SOG

5Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other2

Ovechkin blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 2 of Ovechkin's.

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

12:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
10–14
41.7%
Expected goals
1.0–0.7
57.2%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreOvechkinRielly
2026-04-08WSH 4–0 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-18WSH 4–0 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-28WSH 4–2 TOR0G 1A 6S1G 0A 2S
2024-12-28WSH 5–2 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-13WSH 3–4 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 1A 5S
2024-03-20WSH 3–7 TOR2G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-24WSH 1–4 TOR1G 0A 14S1G 1A 1S
2023-01-29WSH 1–5 TOR0G 0A 6S1G 0A 3S
2022-10-13WSH 2–3 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 2A 1S
2022-04-24WSH 3–4 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-14WSH 3–7 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2022-02-28WSH 3–5 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Ovechkin leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Rielly done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 9–11. Ovechkin had 20 points (12 goals) and Rielly had 17 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →