Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Colton Parayko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Parayko had 18 in 77 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Parayko has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Parayko's 2.0.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.0, Luck Meter +61, Plus/minus +24.
Parayko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.14, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Faceoffs won 0.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Colton Parayko
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Parayko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.10 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 1.14 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Parayko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 7G 10A, 66 SOG · Parayko 3G 11A, 40 SOG
Tuch blocked 3 of Parayko's shots; Parayko blocked 2 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
8:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–9
- 52.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 20.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Parayko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | BUF 4–2 STL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-11-06 | BUF 0–3 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-29 | BUF 4–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-11-14 | BUF 4–3 STL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-10 | BUF 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-11-30 | BUF 4–6 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-24 | BUF 5–3 STL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-23 | BUF 6–2 STL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-14 | BUF 2–6 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-02-25 | BUF 3–5 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-05-08 | VGK 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-05-07 | VGK 4–3 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Colton Parayko
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 9th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Colton Parayko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Parayko had 18 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Colton Parayko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Parayko done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 11–12. Tuch had 17 points (7 goals) and Parayko had 14 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →