Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Plus/minus +24, Top skating speed 22.8, Luck Meter +61.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.9%, Power-play share 53.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.31.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 6G 7A, 36 SOG · Buchnevich 4G 7A, 22 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tuch's defensive zone 0–1 (2024-25)
Tuch blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 0 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
5:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–4
- 69.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.0
- 93.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | BUF 4–2 STL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-06 | BUF 0–3 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-29 | BUF 4–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-14 | BUF 4–3 STL | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-10 | BUF 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-30 | BUF 4–6 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2022-11-23 | BUF 6–2 STL | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-14 | BUF 2–6 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2022-02-25 | BUF 3–5 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-12-08 | VGK 0–5 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-12-02 | VGK 4–1 NYR | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-01-08 | VGK 4–2 NYR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 7–7. Tuch had 13 points (6 goals) and Buchnevich had 11 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Buchnevich?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 0 and Buchnevich 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →