Who to start · 2025-26
Alexandre Carrier vs Auston Matthews
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.
Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games.
This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matthews has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.
Auston Matthews has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carrier's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, Luck Meter +64, Ascension score 65.
Matthews's biggest edges: Power-play share 71.5%, Shots on goal 227, Offensive-zone start % 58.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexandre Carrier
1.73
fantasy points per game
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carrier | Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.30 | 0.79 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.36 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.03 | 0.63 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carrier vs Matthews
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carrier 1G 4A, 12 SOG · Matthews 7G 2A, 39 SOG
Carrier blocked 4 of Matthews's shots; Matthews blocked 1 of Carrier's.
On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)
14:13 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Carrier's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–11
- 57.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.4
- 68.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carrier | Matthews |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | MTL 3–2 TOR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-10 | MTL 3–1 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-06 | MTL 2–1 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-08 | MTL 2–5 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-12 | MTL 0–1 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-01-18 | MTL 3–7 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-04 | NSH 2–3 TOR | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 0A 7S |
| 2023-12-09 | NSH 0–4 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2023-10-28 | NSH 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-03-19 | NSH 6–3 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 10S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexandre Carrier
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Auston Matthews in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Auston Matthews?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carrier and Matthews done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 5–5. Carrier had 5 points (1 goals) and Matthews had 9 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →