Who to start · 2025-26
Alexandre Carrier vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.
Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Carrier's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033, Luck Meter +57, Goals above expected +3.6.
Larkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.7, Power-play share 66.3%, Power-play time per game 3:13.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexandre Carrier
1.58
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carrier | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.19 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.06 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carrier vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carrier 1G 2A, 17 SOG · Larkin 8G 2A, 46 SOG
Carrier blocked 3 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 1 of Carrier's.
On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)
4:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–9
- 10.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carrier | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | MTL 0–4 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-10-09 | MTL 5–1 DET | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-08 | MTL 4–1 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-23 | MTL 2–4 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 9S |
| 2024-12-21 | MTL 5–1 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-20 | MTL 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-12 | NSH 0–3 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1–0 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-29 | NSH 4–5 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-23 | NSH 0–3 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-01-22 | NSH 4–1 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexandre Carrier
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to D
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to C
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carrier and Larkin done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 9–6. Carrier had 3 points (1 goals) and Larkin had 10 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →