Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left. We project Lafrenière for 1.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.8%, Offensive-zone start % 61.0%, Hits 84.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Plus/minus +14, Hardest shot 97.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.64

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alexis Lafrenière has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreProvorov
Goals (+2)0.590.22
Assists (+1)0.400.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.19
Hits (+0.1)0.100.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreProvorov
14Team record in 24 meetings10
12Points in those games9

Lafrenière 5G 7A, 34 SOG · Provorov 2G 7A, 42 SOG

3Hits on each other3
0Shots blocked by the other1

Lafrenière blocked 0 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 1 of Lafrenière's.

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

19:13 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
32–14
69.6%
Expected goals
1.0–1.0
50.1%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreLafrenièreProvorov
2026-03-19NYR 3–6 CBJ1G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-02NYR 4–5 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-15NYR 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-15NYR 4–0 CBJ1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-09NYR 3–7 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-08NYR 4–3 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-18NYR 1–0 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-28NYR 4–1 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-25NYR 2–4 CBJ0G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2023-11-12NYR 4–3 CBJ2G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-14NYR 3–5 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2023-03-01NYR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.6 pts

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Provorov done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 14–10. Lafrenière had 12 points (5 goals) and Provorov had 9 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →