Who to start · 2025-26
Anthony Mantha vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67.
Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Mantha has 1 game left; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Mantha's 1.4.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Mantha's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.0%, Luck Meter +74, On-ice PDO 1032.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Ice-time share 33.3%, Ice time per game 20:11.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Anthony Mantha
1.78
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Mantha | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Mantha vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Mantha 1G 3A, 20 SOG · Larkin 4G 4A, 11 SOG
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Mantha's side)
9:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Mantha's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–8
- 57.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.4
- 62.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Mantha | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | PIT 5–1 DET | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-03 | PIT 4–1 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-01 | PIT 4–3 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-02-27 | WSH 3–8 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-21 | WSH 1–3 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-19 | WSH 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-11-03 | WSH 1–3 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2021-10-27 | WSH 2–3 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Anthony Mantha
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.4 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Anthony Mantha or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Mantha and Larkin done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 4–4. Mantha had 4 points (1 goals) and Larkin had 8 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →