Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs MacKenzie Weegar
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Weegar has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Matthews's 2.7.
Auston Matthews has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1016, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22, Plus/minus −4.
Weegar's biggest edges: Hits 167, Penalty minutes 88, Corsi 51.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
MacKenzie Weegar
1.93
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Weegar |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.09 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 1.07 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Weegar
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 11G 17A, 80 SOG · Weegar 0G 6A, 28 SOG
Matthews blocked 4 of Weegar's shots; Weegar blocked 2 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
9:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–13
- 27.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.4
- 14.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Weegar |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | TOR 4–2 CGY | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-10-28 | TOR 4–3 CGY | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-17 | TOR 6–2 CGY | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-04 | TOR 6–3 CGY | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-01-18 | TOR 4–3 CGY | 3G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-10 | TOR 5–4 CGY | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-03-02 | TOR 2–1 CGY | 0G 1A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-10 | TOR 5–4 CGY | 1G 2A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-23 | TOR 2–3 FLA | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2022-04-05 | TOR 6–7 FLA | 0G 3A 8S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2022-03-27 | TOR 5–2 FLA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2020-02-27 | TOR 5–3 FLA | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
MacKenzie Weegar
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or MacKenzie Weegar in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or MacKenzie Weegar?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Weegar done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 13–4. Matthews had 28 points (11 goals) and Weegar had 6 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →