Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Vince Dunn

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Dunn has 2 left. We project Dunn for 3.2 ESPN points to Matthews's 2.6.

Auston Matthews has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Transition attempts /60 2.09, Plus/minus −4.

Dunn's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 54, Ascension score 54, Goals above expected −0.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsDunn
Goals (+2)0.790.38
Assists (+1)0.380.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.22
Hits (+0.1)0.070.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsDunn
6Team record in 14 meetings8
15Points in those games6

Matthews 8G 7A, 54 SOG · Dunn 4G 2A, 33 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other5

Matthews blocked 1 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 5 of Matthews's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

18:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
19–17
52.8%
Expected goals
0.7–0.5
60.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Vince Dunn
DateScoreMatthewsDunn
2026-01-29TOR 2–5 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-18TOR 3–4 SEA0G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-02-06TOR 3–1 SEA0G 1A 6S0G 0A 4S
2023-11-30TOR 4–3 SEA0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-26TOR 5–1 SEA2G 0A 5S1G 0A 2S
2023-01-05TOR 1–5 SEA0G 1A 3S1G 2A 3S
2022-03-08TOR 6–4 SEA3G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-14TOR 6–2 SEA0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-12-07TOR 5–2 STL2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-07TOR 2–3 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-02-19TOR 2–3 STL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2018-10-20TOR 1–4 STL0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsDunn

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.6 pts

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.6 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Dunn done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 6–8. Matthews had 15 points (8 goals) and Dunn had 6 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →