Who to start · 2025-26
Brad Marchand vs Dylan Larkin
In 2025-26, Brad Marchand scored 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Marchand has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Marchand's 1.8.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marchand's biggest edges: Luck Meter +50, Goals above expected +6.9, Offensive-zone time 46.0%.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Plus/minus +3, Hardest shot 91.7.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Marchand 11–5.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brad Marchand
2.26
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchand | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchand vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchand 11G 15A, 61 SOG · Larkin 9G 14A, 78 SOG
Marchand's offensive zone 3–7 · neutral 0–1 · Marchand's defensive zone 2–3 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Marchand blocked 0 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 3 of Marchand's.
On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)
9:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–12
- 29.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–1.2
- 11.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchand | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | FLA 3–1 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-15 | FLA 1–4 DET | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-04-10 | FLA 4–1 DET | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-06 | FLA 1–2 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-03 | BOS 3–2 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-23 | BOS 2–1 DET | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-31 | BOS 5–3 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-24 | BOS 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-04 | BOS 4–5 DET | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2023-10-28 | BOS 4–1 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-12 | BOS 3–5 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-03-11 | BOS 3–2 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brad Marchand
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brad Marchand or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Brad Marchand scored 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brad Marchand or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchand and Larkin done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 14–11. Marchand had 26 points (11 goals) and Larkin had 23 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Larkin?
- Against each other, Marchand has won 5 and Larkin 11 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →