Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.2.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: High-danger chances 60.8%, Scoring chances 61.3%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018.
Larkin's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Goals above expected −0.5, Blocked shots 33.
Head to head on the dot, Tkachuk leads Larkin 13–13.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.32
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.62 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 12G 10A, 101 SOG · Larkin 12G 7A, 85 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 11–10 · neutral 1–2 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 1–1 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Tkachuk blocked 0 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 1 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
12:43 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–11
- 54.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.3
- 73.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | OTT 3–2 DET | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2026-02-26 | OTT 1–2 DET | 1G 0A 3S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-18 | OTT 3–4 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2026-01-05 | OTT 3–5 DET | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-27 | OTT 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-10 | OTT 2–1 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-07 | OTT 2–3 DET | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-12-05 | OTT 2–1 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-31 | OTT 3–2 DET | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-09 | OTT 5–1 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-16 | OTT 5–4 DET | 2G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-21 | OTT 2–5 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 2A 3S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Larkin done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 18–8. Tkachuk had 22 points (12 goals) and Larkin had 19 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Larkin?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 13 and Larkin 13 of their 26 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →