Who to start · 2025-26
Brandon Hagel vs Eeli Tolvanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.
This week Hagel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hagel for 1.8 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Brandon Hagel has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hagel's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Fenwick 57.9%, Corsi 58.5%.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Hardest shot 92.8, Blocked shots 81.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brandon Hagel
2.15
fantasy points per game
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hagel | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.95 | 0.48 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.26 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.24 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.49 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hagel vs Tolvanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hagel 7G 8A, 41 SOG · Tolvanen 3G 7A, 32 SOG
On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)
6:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Hagel's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–2
- 88.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 82.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hagel | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | TBL 1–5 NYR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-26 | TBL 3–4 SEA | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-23 | TBL 4–1 SEA | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-14 | TBL 5–1 SEA | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2023-12-09 | TBL 4–3 SEA | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-10-30 | TBL 3–4 SEA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-01-16 | TBL 4–1 SEA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-19 | TBL 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-01 | CHI 1–6 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-12-17 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-07 | CHI 2–1 NSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2021-04-23 | CHI 1–3 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brandon Hagel
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brandon Hagel or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Eeli Tolvanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hagel and Tolvanen done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 7–9. Hagel had 15 points (7 goals) and Tolvanen had 10 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →