Who to start · 2025-26
Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.
Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Larkin has 1 left. We project Stephenson for 3.0 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 25 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Stephenson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Goals above expected +2.8, Blocked shots 56.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Transition attempts /60 1.39, Fenwick 50.7%.
Head to head on the dot, Stephenson leads Larkin 27–22.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Chandler Stephenson
1.42
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Stephenson | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Stephenson 2G 1A, 21 SOG · Larkin 5G 9A, 45 SOG
Stephenson's offensive zone 11–9 · neutral 7–6 · Stephenson's defensive zone 9–7 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Stephenson blocked 1 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 0 of Stephenson's.
On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)
12:13 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–13
- 27.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.7
- 28.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Stephenson | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | SEA 3–4 DET | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-18 | SEA 2–4 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-04 | SEA 4–5 DET | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-01-12 | SEA 2–6 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-27 | VGK 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-19 | VGK 2–3 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-12-03 | VGK 4–1 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-18 | VGK 5–2 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2021-11-07 | VGK 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-11-30 | WSH 5–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2019-01-06 | WSH 3–2 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2018-12-11 | WSH 6–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Chandler Stephenson
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 25 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Stephenson and Larkin done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 7–8. Stephenson had 3 points (2 goals) and Larkin had 14 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Larkin?
- Against each other, Stephenson has won 27 and Larkin 22 of their 49 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →