Who to start · 2025-26
Chandler Stephenson vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.
Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Stephenson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.9, Blocked shots 56, Top skating speed 23.3.
Aho's biggest edges: Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Stephenson leads Aho 30–25.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Chandler Stephenson
1.47
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Stephenson | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Stephenson 2G 4A, 16 SOG · Aho 11G 12A, 94 SOG
Stephenson's offensive zone 2–6 · neutral 8–9 · Stephenson's defensive zone 20–10 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Stephenson blocked 1 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Stephenson's.
On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)
7:55 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–13
- 23.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 43.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Stephenson | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | SEA 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-03 | SEA 4–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-26 | SEA 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-17 | VGK 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-19 | VGK 3–6 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 3A 7S |
| 2023-03-11 | VGK 4–0 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-03-01 | VGK 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-01-25 | VGK 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2021-11-16 | VGK 2–4 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 1A 7S |
| 2020-02-08 | VGK 5–6 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2020-01-31 | VGK 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2019-10-05 | WSH 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Chandler Stephenson
3games (2 left)
2.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Stephenson and Aho done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 12–12. Stephenson had 6 points (2 goals) and Aho had 23 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Aho?
- Against each other, Stephenson has won 30 and Aho 25 of their 55 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →