Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, High-danger chances 51.9%, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
Larkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.7, Fenwick 50.7%, Corsi 50.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Larkin 38–32.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.47
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.45 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 3G 6A, 17 SOG · Larkin 10G 10A, 80 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 14–7 · neutral 16–14 · Dvorak's defensive zone 8–11 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Dvorak blocked 2 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
14:59 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–14
- 41.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.2
- 68.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | PHI 3–6 DET | 1G 0A 2S | 3G 1A 4S |
| 2026-04-02 | PHI 2–4 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-03-28 | PHI 5–3 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-08 | MTL 4–1 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-23 | MTL 2–4 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 9S |
| 2024-12-21 | MTL 5–1 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-20 | MTL 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-16 | MTL 4–5 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-04-15 | MTL 4–5 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-02 | MTL 4–5 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-09 | MTL 3–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-26 | MTL 3–4 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Larkin done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 9–11. Dvorak had 9 points (3 goals) and Larkin had 20 (10 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Larkin?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 38 and Larkin 32 of their 70 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →