Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Dylan Larkin
In 2025-26, Connor Bedard scored 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Larkin has 1 left. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Luck Meter +38.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Fenwick 50.7%, Corsi 50.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Bedard 11–5.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 1G 4A, 10 SOG · Larkin 2G 1A, 15 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 1–5 · Bedard's defensive zone 3–5 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
8:23 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–15
- 16.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–1.5
- 9.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | CHI 5–1 DET | 1G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2025-01-10 | CHI 3–5 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-06 | CHI 1–4 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-02-25 | CHI 2–3 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to C
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Connor Bedard scored 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Larkin done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 1–3. Bedard had 5 points (1 goals) and Larkin had 3 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or Larkin?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 5 and Larkin 11 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →