Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Keegan Kolesar
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Keegan Kolesar's 0.91.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Kolesar had 17 in 82 games.
This week McDavid plays 2 games; Kolesar plays 3. We project McDavid for 5.6 ESPN points to Kolesar's 3.0.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Transition attempts /60 2.12, Ice-time share 37.9%.
Kolesar's biggest edges: Hits 270, Blocked shots 43, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.045.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 7 A, 2 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Edmonton Oilers · Detroit Red Wings · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Keegan Kolesar
0.91
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Kolesar |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.20 | 0.13 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.30 | 0.12 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.07 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.32 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Kolesar
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 11G 27A, 104 SOG · Kolesar 3G 1A, 24 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 1–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 1–1 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
10:10 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–9
- 43.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.3
- 57.7%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Kolesar |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | EDM 1–5 VGK | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-26 | EDM 4–3 VGK | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-08 | EDM 4–2 VGK | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-21 | EDM 4–3 VGK | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-05-14 · PO | EDM 1–0 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-12 · PO | EDM 3–0 VGK | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-05-10 · PO | EDM 3–4 VGK | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-05-08 · PO | EDM 5–4 VGK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-06 · PO | EDM 4–2 VGK | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-14 | EDM 6–3 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-03 | EDM 0–1 VGK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-06 | EDM 2–4 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 5 to Oct 11. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
2games
5.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Oct 7 @ ANA2.8 ptsSchedule edge −2.2 win%Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sat, Oct 10 @ SJS2.8 ptsSchedule edge −3.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Keegan Kolesar
3games
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Oct 6 vs OTT1.0 ptsSchedule edge +11.6 win%Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Fri, Oct 9 vs SEA1.0 ptsLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Schedule edge −11.8 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Keegan Kolesar in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Keegan Kolesar's 0.91. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Kolesar had 17 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Keegan Kolesar?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Kolesar done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 17–11. McDavid had 38 points (11 goals) and Kolesar had 4 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Kolesar?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 3 and Kolesar 1 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →