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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Mitch Marner

Connor McDavidConnor McDavidOilers · CentrevsMitch MarnerMitch MarnerGolden Knights · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Marner's 2.3.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.6, 20+ mph bursts 681, Transition attempts /60 2.12.

Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, On-ice PDO 1019, Hardest shot 86.3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidMarner
Goals (+2)1.150.52
Assists (+1)1.320.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.21
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidMarner
9Team record in 24 meetings15
35Points in those games32

McDavid 11G 24A, 83 SOG · Marner 10G 22A, 54 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other3

McDavid's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 1–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 2–2 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other1

McDavid blocked 2 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 1 of McDavid's.

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

18:21 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
21–21
50.0%
Expected goals
0.8–1.7
31.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Mitch Marner
DateScoreMcDavidMarner
2026-04-04EDM 1–5 VGK0G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-26EDM 4–3 VGK1G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S
2026-03-08EDM 4–2 VGK0G 2A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-12-21EDM 4–3 VGK1G 2A 5S1G 1A 3S
2025-02-01EDM 3–4 TOR0G 0A 9S1G 1A 3S
2024-11-16EDM 3–4 TOR1G 1A 4S1G 1A 3S
2024-01-16EDM 4–2 TOR0G 1A 5S0G 1A 0S
2023-03-11EDM 4–7 TOR1G 2A 3S1G 3A 5S
2023-03-01EDM 5–2 TOR2G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2021-03-29EDM 3–2 TOR0G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2021-03-27EDM 3–4 TOR0G 2A 1S0G 1A 4S
2021-03-03EDM 1–6 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidMarner

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Marner done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 9–15. McDavid had 35 points (11 goals) and Marner had 32 (10 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Marner?
Against each other, McDavid has won 4 and Marner 3 of their 7 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →