Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Rasmus Dahlin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Dahlin's 2.10.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dahlin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dahlin for 2.5 ESPN points to McDavid's 2.3.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Transition attempts /60 2.12, Offensive-zone start % 65.6%.
Dahlin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.2, On-ice PDO 1020, Hits 67.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Rasmus Dahlin
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.48 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Dahlin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 6G 11A, 34 SOG · Dahlin 1G 6A, 38 SOG
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
14:44 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–11
- 52.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.6
- 43.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | EDM 3–4 BUF | 2G 0A 6S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2025-11-17 | EDM 1–5 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-03-10 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-21 | EDM 8–3 BUF | 0G 4A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-09 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-06 | EDM 3–2 BUF | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-18 | EDM 2–4 BUF | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-03-17 | EDM 6–1 BUF | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-12 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2020-01-02 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-03-04 | EDM 4–3 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-01-14 | EDM 7–2 BUF | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 6S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Rasmus Dahlin
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Rasmus Dahlin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Dahlin's 2.10. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Rasmus Dahlin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Dahlin done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 5–7. McDavid had 17 points (6 goals) and Dahlin had 7 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →