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Who to start · 2025-26

Darnell Nurse vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Darnell Nurse's 1.83.

Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Nurse has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Nurse's 2.1.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nurse's biggest edges: Hits 137, Transition attempts /60 0.90, Top skating speed 23.2.

Marner's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Offensive-zone time 45.6%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darnell Nurse

1.83

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNurseMarner
Goals (+2)0.160.52
Assists (+1)0.190.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.21
Hits (+0.1)0.170.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.110.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nurse vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NurseMarner
9Team record in 25 meetings16
11Points in those games32

Nurse 3G 8A, 65 SOG · Marner 10G 22A, 55 SOG

4Hits on each other0
10Shots blocked by the other6

Nurse blocked 10 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 6 of Nurse's.

2Penalties drawn off the other3

On the ice against each other (Nurse's side)

24:36 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Nurse's side

Shot attempts
19–27
41.3%
Expected goals
0.9–1.7
34.2%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between Darnell Nurse and Mitch Marner
DateScoreNurseMarner
2026-04-04EDM 1–5 VGK0G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-26EDM 4–3 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2026-03-08EDM 4–2 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-12-21EDM 4–3 VGK0G 1A 1S1G 1A 3S
2025-02-01EDM 3–4 TOR0G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2024-11-16EDM 3–4 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-01-16EDM 4–2 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2023-03-11EDM 4–7 TOR0G 0A 1S1G 3A 5S
2023-03-01EDM 5–2 TOR0G 1A 5S1G 1A 3S
2022-01-05EDM 2–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2021-03-29EDM 3–2 TOR1G 0A 4S1G 1A 2S
2021-03-27EDM 3–4 TOR1G 0A 6S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NurseMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darnell Nurse

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Darnell Nurse or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Darnell Nurse's 1.83. Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Darnell Nurse or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nurse and Marner done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Nurse's team went 9–16. Nurse had 11 points (3 goals) and Marner had 32 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →