Who to start · 2025-26
David Pastrnak vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Pastrnak has 1 game left; Larkin has 1 left. We project Pastrnak for 2.5 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.1.
David Pastrnak has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Pastrnak's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 64.7%, On-ice PDO 1027, Hits 86.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, 20+ mph bursts 186, Top skating speed 22.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
David Pastrnak
2.54
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pastrnak | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.75 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.92 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pastrnak 11G 20A, 96 SOG · Larkin 8G 11A, 74 SOG
Pastrnak's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Pastrnak's defensive zone 0–0 (2019-20)
Pastrnak blocked 0 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 1 of Pastrnak's.
On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)
1:58 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–3
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pastrnak | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | BOS 3–0 DET | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-29 | BOS 1–2 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-03 | BOS 3–2 DET | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-23 | BOS 2–1 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-31 | BOS 5–3 DET | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-24 | BOS 2–5 DET | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-04 | BOS 4–5 DET | 1G 1A 7S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2023-10-28 | BOS 4–1 DET | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-12 | BOS 3–5 DET | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-03-11 | BOS 3–2 DET | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-27 | BOS 5–1 DET | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-01-02 | BOS 5–1 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
David Pastrnak
3games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B2.5 pts
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start David Pastrnak or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, David Pastrnak or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Pastrnak and Larkin done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 14–10. Pastrnak had 31 points (11 goals) and Larkin had 19 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Pastrnak or Larkin?
- Against each other, Pastrnak has won 1 and Larkin 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →