Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left; Provorov has 1 left. We project Guenther for 4.0 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.4.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Luck Meter +42, Fenwick 53.5%.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 134, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.060.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.15

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherProvorov
Goals (+2)1.010.22
Assists (+1)0.420.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.19
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherProvorov
3Team record in 4 meetings1
3Points in those games2

Guenther 3G 0A, 20 SOG · Provorov 1G 1A, 8 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Guenther blocked 0 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 2 of Guenther's.

On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)

14:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side

Shot attempts
13–20
39.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.6
40.1%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Guenther and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreGuentherProvorov
2026-03-07UTA 5–4 CBJ1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2026-01-11UTA 2–3 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-02-06UTA 3–2 CBJ1G 0A 6S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-26ARI 6–2 CBJ1G 0A 8S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

4.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.0 pts
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.0 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guenther and Provorov done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 3–1. Guenther had 3 points (3 goals) and Provorov had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →