Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Guenther vs Noah Cates
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.
Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.
This week Guenther has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.
Dylan Guenther has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Guenther's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 217, Hardest shot 91.4, Transition attempts /60 2.52.
Cates's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, Blocked shots 51, Faceoffs won 467.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Guenther
2.36
fantasy points per game
Noah Cates
1.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guenther | Cates |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.20 | 0.39 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guenther vs Cates
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guenther 3G 5A, 13 SOG · Cates 0G 0A, 5 SOG
Guenther blocked 0 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 1 of Guenther's.
On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)
7:34 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–5
- 64.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.3
- 52.7%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guenther | Cates |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | UTA 3–0 PHI | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-21 | UTA 5–4 PHI | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-04 | UTA 3–2 PHI | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-08 | UTA 4–2 PHI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-12 | ARI 3–5 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Guenther
3games (2 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RW
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RW
Noah Cates
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to LW
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to LW
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to LW
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Guenther or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Noah Cates?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guenther and Cates done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 4–1. Guenther had 8 points (3 goals) and Cates had 0 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →