Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Elias Pettersson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Pettersson had 51 in 74 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Pettersson has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.2.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 22 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Transition attempts /60 1.39, Corsi 50.5%.
Pettersson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.002, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60, Blocked shots 108.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Pettersson 20–15.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Elias Pettersson
2.05
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Pettersson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.41 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.73 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Pettersson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 5G 4A, 44 SOG · Pettersson 5G 13A, 35 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 5–3 · neutral 5–1 · Larkin's defensive zone 10–11 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Larkin blocked 1 of Pettersson's shots; Pettersson blocked 1 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
4:49 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–8
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.3
- 73.5%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Pettersson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | DET 5–1 VAN | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-02 | DET 3–2 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-01 | DET 4–5 VAN | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2024-02-15 | DET 1–4 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2024-02-10 | DET 4–3 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2023-02-13 | DET 6–1 VAN | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-11 | DET 5–2 VAN | 2G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-17 | DET 1–0 VAN | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2019-10-22 | DET 2–5 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2019-10-15 | DET 1–5 VAN | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2019-01-20 | DET 2–3 VAN | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2018-11-06 | DET 3–2 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Elias Pettersson
4games (2 left)
3.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Elias Pettersson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Pettersson had 51 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Elias Pettersson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 22 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Pettersson done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–5. Larkin had 9 points (5 goals) and Pettersson had 18 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Pettersson?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 20 and Pettersson 15 of their 35 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →