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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Jackson Blake

Dylan LarkinDylan LarkinRed Wings · CentrevsJackson BlakeJackson BlakeHurricanes · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Blake had 53 in 81 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Blake has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Blake's 1.7.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Hardest shot 91.7, 20+ mph bursts 186.

Blake's biggest edges: High-danger chances 57.0%, Scoring chances 59.8%, Offensive-zone start % 76.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Jackson Blake

1.44

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinBlake
Goals (+2)0.920.54
Assists (+1)0.450.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.21
Hits (+0.1)0.060.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Blake

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinBlake
2Team record in 6 meetings4
3Points in those games5

Larkin 0G 3A, 14 SOG · Blake 4G 1A, 19 SOG

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

5:02 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
4–7
36.4%
Expected goals
0.2–0.6
24.8%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Jackson Blake
DateScoreLarkinBlake
2026-02-28DET 2–5 CAR0G 1A 4S1G 1A 5S
2026-01-12DET 4–3 CAR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-12-27DET 2–5 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-04-04DET 5–3 CAR0G 2A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-14DET 2–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-04DET 1–2 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinBlake

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to C

Jackson Blake

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Jackson Blake in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Blake had 53 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Jackson Blake?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Blake done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 2–4. Larkin had 3 points (0 goals) and Blake had 5 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →