Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Jared Spurgeon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Spurgeon had 22 in 79 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Spurgeon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 48, Ice-time share 33.3%, Hardest shot 91.7.

Spurgeon's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.045, High-danger chances 51.4%, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Jared Spurgeon

1.48

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinSpurgeon
Goals (+2)0.920.15
Assists (+1)0.450.20
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.11
Hits (+0.1)0.060.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.87

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Dylan Larkin and Jared Spurgeon have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinSpurgeon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Jared Spurgeon

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Jared Spurgeon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Spurgeon had 22 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Jared Spurgeon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →