Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left; Carlsson has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.1 ESPN points to Carlsson's 2.0.
They split the 35 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Larkin's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.029, Faceoff win % 52.9%, Hardest shot 91.7.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 65.8%, Scoring chances 52.9%, Expected goals 55.4%.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Carlsson 22–15.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.02
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 1G 4A, 14 SOG · Carlsson 1G 7A, 5 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 9–4 · neutral 8–4 · Larkin's defensive zone 5–7 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
15:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–13
- 53.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.4
- 68.8%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | DET 6–3 ANA | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-31 | DET 2–5 ANA | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 3A 2S |
| 2025-02-23 | DET 5–4 ANA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-11-15 | DET 4–6 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-12-18 | DET 3–4 ANA | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 35 stats where both qualify.
- How have Larkin and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 2–3. Larkin had 5 points (1 goals) and Carlsson had 8 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Carlsson?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 22 and Carlsson 15 of their 37 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →