Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Mark Scheifele
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Scheifele has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Scheifele's 1.6.
Mark Scheifele has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.39, Faceoff win % 52.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.029.
Scheifele's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 70.0%, Luck Meter +67, Scoring chances 52.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Scheifele leads Larkin 51–45.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Mark Scheifele
2.37
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Scheifele |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.82 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Scheifele
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 5G 6A, 51 SOG · Scheifele 5G 8A, 30 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 8–6 · neutral 16–13 · Larkin's defensive zone 21–32 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
16:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–11
- 59.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 55.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Scheifele |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | DET 5–1 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-31 | DET 2–1 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-04 | DET 4–2 WPG | 2G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-30 | DET 2–6 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-20 | DET 2–5 WPG | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-26 | DET 1–4 WPG | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-31 | DET 2–6 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-01-10 | DET 7–5 WPG | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-04-06 | DET 3–1 WPG | 0G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-01-13 | DET 0–3 WPG | 0G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-12-12 | DET 5–2 WPG | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2019-12-10 | DET 1–5 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Mark Scheifele
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Mark Scheifele in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Mark Scheifele?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Scheifele leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Scheifele done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–9. Larkin had 11 points (5 goals) and Scheifele had 13 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Scheifele?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 45 and Scheifele 51 of their 96 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →