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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left; Ekholm has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.1 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.6.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Goals above expected −0.5, Penalty minutes 48.

Ekholm's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.3%, Scoring chances 57.3%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.59

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinEkholm
Goals (+2)0.920.15
Assists (+1)0.450.43
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.16
Hits (+0.1)0.060.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinEkholm
7Team record in 18 meetings11
12Points in those games12

Larkin 7G 5A, 59 SOG · Ekholm 2G 10A, 34 SOG

1Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other4

Larkin blocked 0 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 4 of Larkin's.

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

20:52 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
22–17
56.4%
Expected goals
1.2–1.3
47.8%
Goals
3–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreLarkinEkholm
2025-12-11DET 1–4 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-19DET 4–2 EDM2G 2A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-30DET 3–2 EDM1G 0A 11S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-27DET 2–3 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 2A 1S
2024-02-13DET 4–8 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-11DET 2–3 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 4S
2022-11-23DET 3–0 NSH1G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-22DET 1–4 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2021-04-08DET 1–7 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2021-04-06DET 2–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2021-03-25DET 1–7 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-03-23DET 0–2 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Ekholm done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–11. Larkin had 12 points (7 goals) and Ekholm had 12 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →