Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left; Dobson has 1 left. We project Dobson for 2.2 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.1.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Corsi 50.5%, Penalty minutes 48, Hardest shot 91.7.
Dobson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Blocked shots 188, On-ice PDO 1014.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.30 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 1.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 7G 5A, 41 SOG · Dobson 1G 8A, 34 SOG
Larkin blocked 0 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 2 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
9:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–7
- 30.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 35.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | DET 4–0 MTL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-09 | DET 1–5 MTL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-25 | DET 4–2 NYI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-21 | DET 2–1 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-22 | DET 1–0 NYI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-21 | DET 6–3 NYI | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-29 | DET 3–5 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-30 | DET 4–3 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2023-03-04 | DET 1–4 NYI | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-11-05 | DET 3–0 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-24 | DET 2–5 NYI | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2021-12-14 | DET 2–1 NYI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT2.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Dobson done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 9–5. Larkin had 12 points (7 goals) and Dobson had 9 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →