Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Quinn Hughes
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Hughes had 76 in 74 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hughes has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Hughes's 1.7.
Quinn Hughes has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Goals above expected −0.5, Plus/minus +3, Hits 46.
Hughes's biggest edges: Scoring chances 53.6%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.47, High-danger chances 51.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Quinn Hughes
2.20
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Quinn Hughes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.19 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.93 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.59 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Hughes
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 6G 5A, 33 SOG · Hughes 0G 9A, 26 SOG
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
17:48 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–17
- 48.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.6
- 42.1%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Hughes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | DET 4–5 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-22 | DET 3–4 MIN | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2025-12-08 | DET 4–0 VAN | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-01 | DET 4–5 VAN | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2024-02-15 | DET 1–4 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-10 | DET 4–3 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-02-13 | DET 6–1 VAN | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-11 | DET 5–2 VAN | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-03-17 | DET 1–0 VAN | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-10-22 | DET 2–5 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2019-10-15 | DET 1–5 VAN | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Quinn Hughes
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.7 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Quinn Hughes in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Hughes had 76 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Quinn Hughes?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Quinn Hughes leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Hughes done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 5–6. Larkin had 11 points (6 goals) and Hughes had 9 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →