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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Ryan Hartman

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Hartman's 1.73.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Hartman had 43 in 76 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hartman has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Hartman's 1.2.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Faceoff win % 52.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.029.

Hartman's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.009, Scoring chances 53.2%, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.

Head to head on the dot, Hartman leads Larkin 20–17.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Ryan Hartman

1.84

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinHartman
Goals (+2)0.920.61
Assists (+1)0.450.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.22
Hits (+0.1)0.060.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Hartman

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinHartman
5Team record in 13 meetings8
12Points in those games9

Larkin 5G 7A, 38 SOG · Hartman 3G 6A, 28 SOG

17Faceoffs against each other20

Larkin's offensive zone 7–8 · neutral 3–5 · Larkin's defensive zone 7–7 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other3

Larkin blocked 0 of Hartman's shots; Hartman blocked 3 of Larkin's.

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

7:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
9–5
64.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
38.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Ryan Hartman
DateScoreLarkinHartman
2026-04-05DET 4–5 MIN0G 1A 1S0G 2A 1S
2026-01-22DET 3–4 MIN0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-27DET 3–6 MIN0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2023-11-26DET 4–1 MIN1G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2022-10-29DET 2–1 MIN0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-10DET 5–6 MIN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-02-14DET 4–7 MIN1G 1A 4S1G 0A 4S
2020-02-27DET 1–7 MIN0G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2020-01-22DET 2–4 MIN0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2019-02-12DET 3–2 NSH1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2019-01-04DET 4–3 NSH1G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2018-01-25DET 1–5 CHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinHartman

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Ryan Hartman

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Ryan Hartman in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Hartman's 1.73. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Hartman had 43 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Ryan Hartman?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Hartman done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 5–8. Larkin had 12 points (5 goals) and Hartman had 9 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Hartman?
Against each other, Larkin has won 17 and Hartman 20 of their 37 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →