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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Dylan LarkinDylan LarkinRed Wings · CentrevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

In 2025-26, Dylan Larkin scored 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Plus/minus +3, Penalty minutes 48.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Nugent-Hopkins 18–13.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.920.56
Assists (+1)0.450.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.18
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinNugent-Hopkins
7Team record in 15 meetings8
14Points in those games10

Larkin 7G 7A, 63 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 5G 5A, 43 SOG

18Faceoffs against each other13

Larkin's offensive zone 7–6 · neutral 4–1 · Larkin's defensive zone 7–6 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other2

Larkin blocked 2 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 2 of Larkin's.

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

4:55 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
3–5
37.5%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
16.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreLarkinNugent-Hopkins
2025-12-11DET 1–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-19DET 4–2 EDM2G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-30DET 3–2 EDM1G 0A 11S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-27DET 2–3 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-13DET 4–8 EDM0G 0A 2S2G 1A 3S
2024-01-11DET 2–3 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 5S
2023-02-15DET 5–4 EDM1G 1A 3S2G 1A 3S
2023-02-07DET 2–5 EDM0G 1A 4S1G 1A 4S
2021-11-09DET 4–2 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-29DET 3–1 EDM1G 1A 7S0G 0A 6S
2019-10-18DET 1–2 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2019-01-22DET 3–2 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
In 2025-26, Dylan Larkin scored 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–8. Larkin had 14 points (7 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 10 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Larkin has won 18 and Nugent-Hopkins 13 of their 31 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →