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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Ryan O'Reilly

Dylan LarkinDylan LarkinRed Wings · CentrevsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.1 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.7, 20+ mph bursts 186, Transition attempts /60 1.39.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.8%, Luck Meter +52, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.98

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.920.62
Assists (+1)0.450.60
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.19
Hits (+0.1)0.060.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.41

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Dylan Larkin and Ryan O'Reilly have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →