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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Meier's 1.9.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Goals above expected −0.5, Faceoff win % 52.9%.

Meier's biggest edges: Scoring chances 53.4%, High-danger chances 52.6%, Hits 131.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.81

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinMeier
Goals (+2)0.920.62
Assists (+1)0.450.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.35
Hits (+0.1)0.060.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinMeier
7Team record in 15 meetings8
13Points in those games15

Larkin 4G 9A, 46 SOG · Meier 6G 9A, 40 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other0

Larkin's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Larkin's defensive zone 3–0 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

3Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

Larkin blocked 2 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 0 of Larkin's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

14:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
13–18
41.9%
Expected goals
1.0–0.9
54.2%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Timo Meier
DateScoreLarkinMeier
2026-04-11DET 3–5 NJD0G 2A 4S0G 1A 4S
2025-11-24DET 3–4 NJD1G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2024-11-29DET 4–5 NJD0G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2024-10-24DET 5–3 NJD1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-23DET 2–3 NJD0G 0A 2S2G 0A 5S
2023-10-12DET 3–4 NJD0G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-24DET 3–2 SJS0G 1A 5S1G 0A 4S
2022-11-17DET 7–4 SJS0G 2A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-01-04DET 6–2 SJS1G 1A 5S0G 1A 1S
2019-12-31DET 2–0 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2019-11-16DET 3–4 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-03-25DET 3–2 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to C

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RW

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Meier done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–8. Larkin had 13 points (4 goals) and Meier had 15 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Meier?
Against each other, Larkin has won 4 and Meier 0 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →