Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 1.8 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 52.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.029, Hardest shot 91.7.
Zegras's biggest edges: High-danger chances 56.6%, Expected goals 54.9%, Sequence xG 55.0%.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Zegras 11–8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Trevor Zegras
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.64 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 6G 4A, 39 SOG · Zegras 5G 6A, 17 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 6–2 · Larkin's defensive zone 4–5 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
10:29 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–15
- 21.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 41.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DET 6–3 PHI | 3G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-04-02 | DET 4–2 PHI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-03-28 | DET 3–5 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-23 | DET 5–4 ANA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-15 | DET 4–6 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-07 | DET 3–2 ANA | 1G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-15 | DET 2–3 ANA | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2022-10-23 | DET 5–1 ANA | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-01-31 | DET 2–1 ANA | 1G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-01-09 | DET 3–4 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Trevor Zegras
3games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Zegras done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 6–4. Larkin had 10 points (6 goals) and Zegras had 11 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Zegras?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 11 and Zegras 8 of their 19 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →