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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Justin Faulk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Faulk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Faulk for 1.8 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Justin Faulk has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Ascension score 57, Blocked shots 81.

Faulk's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +6.5, Luck Meter +62.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Justin Faulk

1.81

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Justin Faulk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenFaulk
Goals (+2)0.480.38
Assists (+1)0.260.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.18
Hits (+0.1)0.240.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.79

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Faulk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenFaulk
5Team record in 13 meetings8
8Points in those games10

Tolvanen 3G 5A, 17 SOG · Faulk 1G 9A, 26 SOG

1Hits on each other2
4Shots blocked by the other1

Tolvanen blocked 4 of Faulk's shots; Faulk blocked 1 of Tolvanen's.

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

16:55 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
19–22
46.3%
Expected goals
1.0–0.8
55.0%
Goals
2–3

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Justin Faulk
DateScoreTolvanenFaulk
2026-10-02NYR 2–0 DET1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-04SEA 2–3 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-02-26SEA 1–5 STL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2025-11-08SEA 4–3 STL1G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-12SEA 4–3 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-25SEA 2–7 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-08SEA 2–3 STL1G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2023-10-14SEA 1–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-28SEA 5–3 STL0G 3A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-04-17NSH 3–8 STL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2022-03-12NSH 4–7 STL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2022-01-17NSH 3–5 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenFaulk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Justin Faulk

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Justin Faulk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Justin Faulk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Justin Faulk leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Faulk done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 5–8. Tolvanen had 8 points (3 goals) and Faulk had 10 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →