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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Mike Matheson

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsMike MathesonMike MathesonCanadiens · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tolvanen for 1.3 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.

Mike Matheson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.47, Hits 187, Power-play share 47.4%.

Matheson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Plus/minus +9, Top skating speed 22.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mike Matheson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenMatheson
Goals (+2)0.480.17
Assists (+1)0.260.42
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.16
Hits (+0.1)0.240.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.96

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Matheson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenMatheson
3Team record in 9 meetings6
5Points in those games3

Tolvanen 3G 2A, 14 SOG · Matheson 1G 2A, 22 SOG

4Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

Tolvanen blocked 2 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

9:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
5–13
27.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
39.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Mike Matheson
DateScoreTolvanenMatheson
2025-10-28SEA 3–4 MTL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-14SEA 4–5 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-12SEA 5–4 MTL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-29SEA 8–2 MTL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-03-24SEA 1–5 MTL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2023-12-04SEA 2–4 MTL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-10NSH 2–3 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-03-15NSH 4–1 PIT1G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2018-04-03NSH 1–2 FLA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenMatheson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Mike Matheson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mike Matheson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Matheson done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 3–6. Tolvanen had 5 points (3 goals) and Matheson had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →