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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Nikita Kucherov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 3.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Kucherov had 130 in 77 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Kucherov has 1 left. We project Kucherov for 2.8 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Nikita Kucherov has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Ascension score 57.

Kucherov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +43, High-danger chances 56.9%, Fenwick 55.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Nikita Kucherov

3.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nikita Kucherov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenKucherov
Goals (+2)0.481.20
Assists (+1)0.261.05
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.23
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.29
Hits (+0.1)0.240.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Kucherov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenKucherov
4Team record in 10 meetings6
4Points in those games13

Tolvanen 1G 3A, 16 SOG · Kucherov 6G 7A, 33 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

9:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
7–13
35.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
37.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Nikita Kucherov
DateScoreTolvanenKucherov
2026-10-01NYR 5–1 TBL1G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2026-03-26SEA 4–3 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-02-23SEA 1–4 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-12-14SEA 1–5 TBL0G 1A 5S0G 2A 2S
2023-12-09SEA 3–4 TBL0G 1A 1S2G 1A 5S
2023-10-30SEA 4–3 TBL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 8S
2023-01-16SEA 1–4 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-19NSH 2–3 TBL0G 0A 2S1G 2A 6S
2022-02-26NSH 2–3 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2018-04-01NSH 4–1 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenKucherov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Nikita Kucherov

2games (1 left)

2.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Nikita Kucherov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 3.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Kucherov had 130 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Nikita Kucherov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikita Kucherov leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Kucherov done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 4–6. Tolvanen had 4 points (1 goals) and Kucherov had 13 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →