Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Thomas Harley has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.8, Ascension score 57, Hits 187.
Harley's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, High-danger chances 51.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 4G 3A, 32 SOG · Harley 2G 10A, 25 SOG
Tolvanen blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 1 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
9:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–9
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 32.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | SEA 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-11-09 | SEA 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-31 | SEA 1–3 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-29 | SEA 1–5 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-13 | SEA 0–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-13 | SEA 1–3 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-30 | SEA 0–3 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-18 | SEA 3–4 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-05-15 · PO | SEA 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-05-13 · PO | SEA 6–3 DAL | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-05-11 · PO | SEA 2–5 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-05-09 · PO | SEA 3–6 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RW
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RW
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Thomas Harley leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Harley done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 6–12. Tolvanen had 7 points (4 goals) and Harley had 12 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →