Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tolvanen for 1.3 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
Vladimir Tarasenko has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.8, Penalty minutes 30, Hits 187.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Luck Meter +35.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.64
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.31 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.52 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 0G 3A, 15 SOG · Tarasenko 5G 8A, 29 SOG
Tolvanen blocked 1 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
6:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–4
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.6
- 23.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | SEA 2–5 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-08 | SEA 2–3 MIN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-08 | SEA 1–4 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-04 | SEA 4–5 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-12 | SEA 2–6 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2024-01-04 | SEA 4–1 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-02 | SEA 0–2 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-10 | SEA 3–6 NYR | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-17 | NSH 3–8 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2022-03-12 | NSH 4–7 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2022-01-17 | NSH 3–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-11 | NSH 4–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Vladimir Tarasenko leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 2–10. Tolvanen had 3 points (0 goals) and Tarasenko had 13 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →