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Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Hronek vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Hronek has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.

Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hronek's biggest edges: Power-play share 43.0%, Power-play time per game 1:51, Power-play points 21.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, On-ice PDO 1036.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHronekSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.170.44
Assists (+1)0.680.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.14
Hits (+0.1)0.140.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.710.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hronek vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HronekSamuelsson
2Team record in 7 meetings5
3Points in those games2

Hronek 0G 3A, 21 SOG · Samuelsson 1G 1A, 6 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Hronek blocked 0 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 1 of Hronek's.

On the ice against each other (Hronek's side)

19:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hronek's side

Shot attempts
27–13
67.5%
Expected goals
0.9–0.4
66.4%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Filip Hronek and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreHronekSamuelsson
2026-01-06VAN 3–5 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-11VAN 2–3 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-21VAN 2–3 BUF0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-13VAN 1–0 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-29DET 3–6 BUF0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-30DET 4–5 BUF0G 2A 5S1G 0A 3S
2022-01-17DET 3–2 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HronekSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Filip Hronek or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Filip Hronek or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hronek and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Hronek's team went 2–5. Hronek had 3 points (0 goals) and Samuelsson had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →