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Who to start · 2025-26

Ian Cole vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ian Cole's 1.30.

Cole had 23 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Cole has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Cole's 1.5.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Cole's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.019, Blocked shots 151, Shorthanded points 1.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 4:13, Offensive-zone time 46.6%, 20+ mph bursts 455.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ian Cole

1.30

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromColeMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.061.49
Assists (+1)0.220.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.070.46
Hits (+0.1)0.080.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.870.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Cole vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ColeMacKinnon
9Team record in 23 meetings14
5Points in those games30

Cole 0G 5A, 19 SOG · MacKinnon 9G 21A, 95 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other0

Cole blocked 2 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Cole's.

0Penalties drawn off the other3
1Goals set up by the other7

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Cole's side)

9:18 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Cole's side

Shot attempts
13–9
59.1%
Expected goals
0.5–0.4
55.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ian Cole and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreColeMacKinnon
2025-12-23UTA 0–1 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-21UTA 4–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 8S
2025-10-09UTA 1–2 COL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-27UTA 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 3A 4S
2024-12-12UTA 4–1 COL0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2024-10-24UTA 1–5 COL0G 1A 0S0G 1A 3S
2024-03-13VAN 3–4 COL0G 1A 0S1G 1A 3S
2024-02-20VAN 1–3 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 10S
2023-11-22VAN 2–5 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 7S
2023-02-14TBL 4–3 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 7S
2023-02-09TBL 5–0 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-16CAR 4–7 COL0G 0A 1S2G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ColeMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ian Cole

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF1.5 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Ian Cole or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ian Cole's 1.30. Cole had 23 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ian Cole or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cole and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Cole's team went 9–14. Cole had 5 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 30 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →