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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Justin Faulk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left; Faulk has 1 left. We project Faulk for 1.9 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.

Justin Faulk has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.32, Plus/minus +14, Scoring chances 51.5%.

Faulk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.4%, Luck Meter +62, Hits 70.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Justin Faulk

1.91

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Justin Faulk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovFaulk
Goals (+2)0.220.41
Assists (+1)0.270.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.19
Hits (+0.1)0.030.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.85

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Faulk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovFaulk
10Team record in 17 meetings7
4Points in those games12

Provorov 0G 4A, 22 SOG · Faulk 7G 5A, 42 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other3

Provorov blocked 3 of Faulk's shots; Faulk blocked 3 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

23:30 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
24–33
42.1%
Expected goals
1.4–1.5
48.4%
Goals
1–3

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Justin Faulk
DateScoreProvorovFaulk
2026-04-07CBJ 4–3 DET0G 0A 3S2G 0A 6S
2026-01-31CBJ 5–3 STL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-01CBJ 3–2 STL0G 1A 2S1G 0A 1S
2025-01-11CBJ 2–1 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-08CBJ 5–2 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2023-04-04PHI 2–4 STL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2022-11-08PHI 5–1 STL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-24PHI 5–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-22PHI 1–4 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2020-01-15PHI 4–3 STL0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2019-04-06PHI 3–4 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2019-03-30PHI 2–5 CAR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovFaulk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts

Justin Faulk

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.9 pts

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Justin Faulk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Justin Faulk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Justin Faulk leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Faulk done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 10–7. Provorov had 4 points (0 goals) and Faulk had 12 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →