Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Macklin Celebrini
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Celebrini has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.060, High-danger chances 52.3%, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%, Luck Meter +76.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Macklin Celebrini
2.89
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 1.10 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.85 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.32 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Celebrini
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 0G 2A, 9 SOG · Celebrini 2G 2A, 17 SOG
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
14:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 23–16
- 59.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.2
- 31.7%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CBJ 2–3 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2026-01-06 | CBJ 2–5 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-01-16 | CBJ 4–1 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-05 | CBJ 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Macklin Celebrini
2games (1 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Macklin Celebrini?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Celebrini done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 1–3. Provorov had 2 points (0 goals) and Celebrini had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →