Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Morgan Frost
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Hardest shot 97.1, High-danger chances 52.3%.
Frost's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Hits 59.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Morgan Frost
1.37
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Frost |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.54 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Frost
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 0G 1A, 21 SOG · Frost 5G 3A, 17 SOG
Provorov blocked 1 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 0 of Provorov's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
8:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–1
- 92.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.1
- 76.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | CBJ 5–3 CGY | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-11-05 | CBJ 1–5 CGY | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-14 | CBJ 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-21 | CBJ 4–5 PHI | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-10 | CBJ 3–5 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-04-06 | CBJ 6–2 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-12 | CBJ 2–4 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Morgan Frost?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
- How have Provorov and Frost done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 3–4. Provorov had 1 points (0 goals) and Frost had 8 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →