Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 134, On-ice PDO 1012.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.9%, Offensive-zone start % 67.3%, Fenwick 61.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.78
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nikolaj Ehlers has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.55 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 1G 2A, 27 SOG · Ehlers 7G 11A, 38 SOG
Provorov blocked 2 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 0 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
21:12 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 23–16
- 59.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.7
- 61.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | CBJ 1–5 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-31 | CBJ 2–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2026-03-17 | CBJ 5–1 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-09 | CBJ 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-01 | CBJ 2–6 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 3G 1A 5S |
| 2024-03-17 | CBJ 1–6 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-09 | CBJ 0–5 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-01-28 | PHI 4–0 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-22 | PHI 3–5 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-04-27 | PHI 0–4 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2020-02-22 | PHI 4–2 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-12-15 | PHI 3–7 WPG | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 4–11. Provorov had 3 points (1 goals) and Ehlers had 18 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →