Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Buchnevich for 1.5 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Transition attempts /60 0.49, Top skating speed 22.1.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.9%, Offensive-zone start % 53.1%, Power-play share 53.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.39
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 1G 11A, 59 SOG · Buchnevich 7G 9A, 53 SOG
Provorov blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
9:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–7
- 65.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.4
- 74.7%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | CBJ 5–3 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-01 | CBJ 3–2 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-11 | CBJ 2–1 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-04 | CBJ 6–4 STL | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-30 | CBJ 1–0 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-08 | CBJ 5–2 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-11-08 | PHI 5–1 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-24 | PHI 5–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-22 | PHI 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-23 | PHI 1–4 NYR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2021-03-27 | PHI 2–1 NYR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-03-25 | PHI 3–8 NYR | 0G 0A 7S | 2G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
- How have Provorov and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 18–7. Provorov had 12 points (1 goals) and Buchnevich had 16 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →